2002 BASEBALL PREDICTIONS
FINAL STANDINGS

John Ryan, a first time player from Amsterdam, Netherlands, has won the 2002 Baseball Predictions by 14 points over Tristan Cockcroft of CBSSportline.com. John was 2nd at the All-Star Break. He first took the lead on June 14th and held the lead for much of the time through mid-July. John took the lead for good on September 12th and built a commanding 30 point lead with just four days to play before coasting home.

There were twelve different leaders this year, up from seven in 2001, and 22 lead changes. The San Francisco Chronicle (30) was the leader when the standings where first computed in early May. Other leaders in the early going included Al Manzey (32), Dirk Soeterik (49) Gordon Edes (31), Warren Morris (27) and Darren Dawson (93). Brandon Funston (8) took the lead in early June and was the leader at the All-Star Break. Peter Gammons (6), Russ Shinabarger (9), Tristan Cockcroft (2) and Martin Visser (4) all traded the lead through the Summer until John Ryan moved back into the mix in September. The standings were computed 88 times this year. John Ryan led 36 times while Russ Shinabarger and Martin Visser each led 14 times.

Division Leaders: Below is a list of the top picks in each division. There were 94 correct division scores this season, including 74 in the AL East and thirteen in the AL West. Ten players managed to get two divisions correct while John Ryan (1), Rick Mize (3), Atticus Ryan (7) and Russ Shinabarger (9) made the list three times.

AL East AL Central AL West NL East NL Central NL West
John Ryan 0 Ken Daley

0

Easy Freeman

0

Joe Sheehan

8
Mike Kern 11 Rick Mize 0
Rick Mize 0 Russ Shinabarger

0

Ken Daley

12

John Ryan 15 John Ryan 22 Colin McGee 0
Martin Visser 0 Colin McGee

0

Atticus Ryan

12

Rick Mize 15 Peter Gammons 22 Athlon Sports 0
Peter Gammons 0 Blake Vasquez

0

Colin McGee

12

Martin Visser 15 Warren Morris 22 Randy Youngman 0
Atticus Ryan 0 Charlie McCarthy

0

Robert Kuwada

12

Peter Gammons 15 Gordon Edes 22 Lindy's 0
Russ Shinabarger 0 John Sickels

0

Phil Rogers

12

Atticus Ryan 15 Stacy Rice 22 Stacy Rice 0
Robert Kuwada 0 Martin Visser

13

Phil Hensley

12

Russ Shinabarger 15 Dirk Soeterik 22 Eric Karabell 0
Jason Stark 0 Jason Stark

13

Eric Karabell

12

Jason Stark 15 Stacy Borah 22 Lucy Hay 0
Athlon Sports 0 Phil Rogers

13

Charles Kovac

12

Athlon Sports 15 SF Examiner 22 Bob McMeen 0
Blake Vasquez 0 SF Chronicle

13

SF Examiner

12

Lindy's 15 Doug Dickson 22 Darren Dawson 0
Randy Youngman 0 Gordon Edes

13

Ron Mize

12

Stacy Rice 15 Joe Sheehan 22 Steve Mann 0
Gordon Edes 0 Greg Skruch

13

Charlie McCarthy

12

& 54 others tied @ 15 Jacob Flowers 26 Chris Mauro 0
Lindy's 0 8 tied @

14

John Baker

12

Phil Hensley 33 Street & Smith 0
Stacy Rice 0 Jordan Frank

12

Jim A. Slagle 33 13 tied @ 5
Stacy Borah 0 Al Finlay

12

Lucy Hay 0 Ben Silverman

12

Steve Mann 0
& 57 others tied @ 0 42 tied @

54

59 tied @

62

44 tied @ 53 44 tied @ 44 14 tied @ 40



Tie breaker: The TB represents the points accumulated by each player's six projected division winners. Eric Mack (14) and Steven Richard (158) picked all six division winners and had a perfect tie breaker. Ken Daley (5) and Phil Rogers (23) both missed on the Giants and had a tie breaker of 2.5 points. Tim Moore (148) missed on all six of his projected division winners and had a high tie breaker of 116.0 points, but there is more to this game than picking winners as Tim finished with 32 points less than Steven and finished ten placed ahead of him.

Keys: The keys represent a code for each of the teams that were important to our success (or failure) this year. Caps represent good keys which helped to lower our score while lower case represent bad keys which increased our score.

The most important keys this year were Texas last in the AL West, valued at 42 points, Atlanta (38) 1st in the NL East, Colorado and San Diego (38) 4th or 5th in the NL West and Minnesota (27) 1st in the AL Central. Oakland (8) was also a factor but contributed less than ten points. Fourty-one players had both Texas and Atlanta correct, including nineteen on the top twenty-one finishers.

Cum Stats: Last year's winner, Sean McAdam (25), columnist for the Providence Journal and ESPN is the new CumStats leader with a three average of 5.8% and an 11.2% lead over Robert Kuwada (18), columnist for the Orange County Register. They moved ahead of last year's leader, Gordon Edes (31). Gerry Hamilton (82) retained the lead for veteran players with a 2.8% lead over Dudley Michael (160). There are 125 active players and 56 inactive players in the CumStat pages.

Top ten- Current players

Yrs
Cum% Top ten- Ten years or more

Yrs

Cum%
Rk
Sean McAdam Providence Journal/ESPN 3 5.80 Gerry Hamilton Trinidad, CA 25 25.20 8
Robert Kuwada Orange Cty Register 4 17.01 Dudley Michael Brea, CA 10 28.01 11
Gordon Edes Boston Globe 4 18.74 Player Consensus 38 33.02 14
Peter Gammons Boston Globe/ESPN 4 20.34 Blake Vasquez Brea 11 33.36 15
Ken Daley Dallas Morning News 6 22.82 Los Angeles Times Staff 22 34.82 18
USA Today BB Wkly Staff 8 24.16 Spring Training Mag Staff 10 34.90 19
SF Chronicle Staff 6 24.39 Nelson Slagle Westminster, CA 43 35.82 20
Gerry Hamilton Trinidad, CA 25 25.20 Sports Illustrated Staff 24 36.36 21
Charles Kovac Fullerton, CA 3 27.68 Athlon Sports Staff 11 36.58 22
David Dial Brea, CA 5 27.95 John Baker Upper Arlington, OH 29 36.62 23


Best Prior: The last two columns of the final standings represent the best finish for each player through 2000. This is a weighted value. For example, it is better to finish 20th against over 200 players than to finish 10th against less than 100 players. There were eleven past winners in this year's game. Bob Thomas (15t/W82) was the highest finisher among those players. Winners of the last 27 games can be found on on the Prior Winners page.

Trivia: This year, our 43rd, marked the the first time that all six Slagles competed together. Nelson (47pl/43yrs) and his father, Gene (111/22), were both in the game when it started in 1955. Nelson's brothers Jim W. (81/30) and John (66t/21), both joined in 1966 and his sons, Jim A. (66t/18) and Jerry (102/16), both joined in 1980. Each has played for at least 16 years but this is the first time that they have all played in the same game.

This year there were thirteen father/son combinations. The fathers won seven out of thirteen. Nelson Slagle (47) and Al Julian both were 2-0 while Gene Slagle went 0-3. There were three husband/wife combinations and the wives won two of three.

There are five columnists from the Orange County Register in this year's game. Four of them, Cheryl Rosenberg Neubert (13), Steve Bisheff (17), Robert Kuwada (18) and Randy Youngman (28) finished in the top 28.

Credits/Kudos: I'd like to offer my thanks to those who contributed to this year's game. Randy Lang (44) with 20 submittals and Nelson Slagle (47) with 19 submittals were the top contributors. The following are some of the others who also contributed to this year's game:

Randy Lang 20 Rick Mize 6 Warren Morris

3
Nelson Slagle 19 Al Julian 5 10 others 2 ea
George & Lucy Hay

8
Atticus Ryan 4

And finally I would like to thank those that supported the game this year so consistently, especially Al F, Al J, Atticus, Mark, Jerry, John, Nelson and Tom. Your continued support, especially when I was on the last page, makes it all worthwhile and a lot more fun. Until next Spring.....

ggh 8oct

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