2004 BASEBALL PREDICTIONS

Final Standings

First time player, Sunil Pandya, of Miami Beach, Florida has won the 2004 Baseball Predictions by 17 points over Brit Harvey of Albuquerque, New Mexico. Sunil first took the lead on July 5th and was the leader at the All-Star Break. He traded the lead with two other players until he took over for good in late September. Sunil was one of just three players to pick Colorado and Arizona 4th and 5th in the NL West.

There were seven different leaders in 2004 and thirteen lead changes, up from three and three, respectively in 2003. Brit Harvey was the early leader when the standings were first computed at the end of April. Other early leaders include Martin Visser (49) of Redding, CA, James Frank (6) of Newport Beach, CA and David Lipman (57) of ESPN.com. Martin lead thorugh most of June until AJ Julian (30), a high school student from Los Alamitos, CA took the lead in late June. Chris Smith (34) of Fort Worth, Texas lead briefly in early July. After Sunil stepped up he traded the lead with AJ and Brit until he took the lead for good on September 24th.

Final Standings
Sunil Pandya's Picks
ALE GB NLE

GB
ALE Pts NLE Pts SCORING: Computed by matching the Final Standings to each
NYY - Atl - NY - Phi 10.0 player's picks, and calculating how many games each team
Bos 3.0 Phil 10.0 Bos - Atl 10.0 finished out of their predicted order of finish. See
Balt 23.0 Fla 13.0 Bal - FL - Sunil Pandya's picks (left).
TB 30.5 NYM 25.0 Tor 3.0 NY -
Tor 33.5 Mont 29.0 TB 3.0 Mon - KEYS: Codes used to define the success (of failure) in each
6 20 division's results. Caps indicate positive or good keys and
ALC GB NLC

GB
ALC Pts NLC Pts lower case are negative or bad keys. Example: T- picked
Minn - StL - Chi 9.0 Chi 13.0 Tampa Bay and Toronto 4th or 5th in the AL East.
ChWS 9.0 Hous 13.0 MN 9.0 MN 3.0
Clev 12.0 ChiC 16.0 KC 22.0 StL 16.0
Detr 20.0 Cinc 29.0 Cle 8.0 Cinc -- TB- Tie breaker: Points accumulated by each player's six
KC 34.0 Pitt 32.5 Det 14.0 Pitt -- projected division winners.
Milw 37.5 Mil --
62 32 Cum Stats: Average percentile placing of 119 players that have
ALW GB NLW

GB
ALW Pts NLW Pts participated for three or more years. Yrs- Years played;
Ana - LA - Ana -- SF 2.0 Rank- Rank among 119 players.
Oak 1.0 SF 2.0 Oak -- SD 4.0
Tex 3.0 SD 6.0 Sea 26.0 LA 6.0 Best Prior: Best previous finish, year and place.
Seat 29.0 CO 25.0 TX 26.0 CO --
AZ 42.0 AZ -- Abbreviations: W03- won game in 2003, etc.
52 12

Total
........ 184



Consensus: This year the Yankees or the Redsox were favored over the Cubs or Astros. Steve Mann (90) and Dave Harmel (101) each had Boston over St Louis in the World Series.

Division Leaders: Below is a list of the top picks in each division. There were 12 correct division scores this season, down from 138 last season. No one had more than one division correct.

AL East Sc AL Central Sc AL West Sc NL East Sc NL Central Sc NL West Sc
Ed Stokes 0 AJ Julian 24 James Frank 0 A. Hazlewood 0 Greg Skruch 0 Sunil Pandya 12
Gene Scearce 0 Tom Tippett 28 Jordan Frank 0 Josh Sinnett 0 Larry Palomino 6 MLB Preview 12
Sunil Pandya 6 Craig Leen 28 Kelly Binks 0 Athlon Sports 0 Tom Tippett 6 Gary Huckabay 12
Lynne Martinelli 6 Doug Pappas 28 Brit Harvey 4 Gail Lampson 0 Dave Harmel 6 Mike Cain 34
James Frank 6 Jerry Davis 28 Andre Vorster 4 Bill Kirk 0 Danny Ford 7 Joseph Longiaru 34
Jim Thomas 6 Chris Dombrowski 28 Terry Quinn 0 N. J. Michael 13 Herb Stoltenberg 38
Todd Newville 6 Atticus Ryan 34 Donna Lang 6 Al Finlay 13 Jim Thomas 38
Joseph Longiaru 6 A. Hazlewood 34 Lynne Martinelli 6 AJ Julian 16 Todd Newville 38
Gene Yarrobino 6 Brit Harvey 40 Gene Yarrobino 6 Joe Russell 16 Shawn Dunaway 38
Don Dawson 6 Don Dawson 6 Steve Mann 16 Mike Kern 38
& 31 others tied @ 6 29 tied @ 44
69 tied @ 21 45 tied @ 50 72 tied @ 52 34 tied @ 20 68 tied @ 32 104 tied @ 84

Tie breaker: The TB represents the points accumulated by each player's six projected division winners. David Dial (7) and Kristen Mize (160) had the best tie breaker with 13.0 points. They each had five of six division winners correct, missing only on Houston in the NL Central.

Cum Stats: 2003 winner, Atticus Ryan, remains our Cum Stat leader with a four year average of 9.65%. He holds a 14.4% lead over David Dial (7) of Brea, CA. Gerry Hamilton (87) of Trinidad, CA retained the lead for veteran players and now holds a 5.1% lead over Tedd Thomey (27) of Long Beach, CA.

Top Ten Current Players

Yrs

Cum %
Top Ten Players- 10 Years or more

Yrs

Cum %

Rk

Atticus Ryan Amsterdam

4

9.65
Gerry Hamilton Trinidad

 27

25.94

3

David Dial Brea

7

24.02
Tedd Thomey Long Beach

10

30.05

8

Gerry Hamilton Trinidad 

27

25.94
Player Consensus  

40

32.71

12

Tristan Cockcroft CBSSportsline.com

3

26.65
Dudley Michael Brea

12

34.43

15

Lindy's Baseball  

3

26.68
Steve Ellis Santa Ana

11

34.61

17

Mark Martinelli So. San Francisco

4

26.98
Nelson Slagle Westminster

45

35.70

19

John Ryan Amsterdam

3

29.39
Murray Chass New York Times

15

35.73

20

Tedd Thomey Long Beach

10

30.05
Blake Vasquez San Deigo State Uni

13

 36.13

 21

Baseball Preview  

5

30.50
Sports Illustrated  

25

37.05

24

James Rover San Francisco

7

31.94
Athlon Sports  

13

37.67

25

 

Best Prior: The last two columns of the final standings represent the best finish for each player through 2003. This is a weighted value. For example, it is better to finish 20th against over 200 players than to finish 10th against less than 100 players. Brit Harvey, who finished 2nd this year, improved his previous best finish which was 120th in 1996.

ggh 13Mar

Player Standings

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